According to Lookonchain, Bitcoin (BTC) has finished October higher in 10 of the past 12 years, indicating a recurring Pumptober seasonality pattern that traders may use as a directional bias input this month (source: Lookonchain on X, Oct 1, 2025). For trading, this historical win rate can support breakout and trend-following setups in BTC spot and futures during October while traders seek confirmation from price action, noting the post provides a frequency statistic without detailing specific return magnitudes (source: Lookonchain on X, Oct 1, 2025).

According to @MilkRoadDaily, historical seasonality points to October as Bitcoin’s most bullish stretch after a choppy September, highlighting a potential flip in market momentum, source: @MilkRoadDaily. Key October catalysts flagged are approximately $5B in FTX payouts to creditors, ETF deadlines for top altcoins, and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision, source: @MilkRoadDaily. These events converge during Bitcoin’s strongest seasonal window, with @MilkRoadDaily noting that Uptober might live up to its name, source: @MilkRoadDaily. Full context is referenced by @MilkRoadDaily via mrcrypto.milkroad.com/p/why-october-could-be-huge, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to the source, October has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, with average BTC returns of +21.89%, fueling the “Uptober” narrative [source]. Based on the source’s seasonality claim, traders may structure entries on a monthly-open reclaim and manage exits on a loss of the monthly open to express the bias with defined risk [source]. Based on the source’s seasonality claim, confirmation tools to avoid false starts can include monitoring spot–futures basis, funding trends, and weekly momentum before sizing up [source]. Given the source’s claim is historical in nature, risk controls such as conservative position sizing and pre-set invalidation levels are critical if the seasonal pattern fails to materialize [source].